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For six years, the Internet Nexus served as my technology blog, but I've since started blogging at the SuperSite Blog instead. If you're looking for the blog, please head there. --Paul



Saturday, January 22, 2005

Linux Inc.

Business Week:
Linus Torvalds once led a ragtag band of software geeks. Not anymore. Here's an inside look at how the unusual Linux business model increasingly threatens Microsoft.

The phenomenon that Torvalds kicked off as a student at the University of Helsinki in 1991 had long been a loosey-goosey effort, with little structure or organization. Young students and caffeine-jazzed iconoclasts wrote much of the code in their spare time, while the overtaxed Torvalds stitched in improvements almost singlehandedly.

Today, that approach is quaint history. Little understood by the outside world, the community of Linux programmers has evolved in recent years into something much more mature, organized, and efficient. Put bluntly, Linux has turned pro.

Torvalds' onetime hobby has become Linux Inc. "People thought this wouldn't work. There are just too many people and companies to hang together. But now it's clear it does work," says Mark Blowers, an analyst at market researcher Butler Group.

Not that this Inc. operates like a traditional corporation. Hardly. There's no headquarters, no CEO, and no annual report. And it's not a single company. Rather, it's a cooperative venture in which employees at about two dozen companies, along with thousands of individuals, work together to improve Linux software. The tech companies contribute sweat equity to the project, largely by paying programmers' salaries, and then make money by selling products and services around the Linux operating system.

The organization supporting Linux has matured more dramatically than most outsiders realize. While Torvalds remains at its center, he has ceded some control and accepted lots of help, thanks to some prodding from individual programmers ... and some coaxing from tech giants whose fortunes have become inextricably linked to Linux.

Linux has become the strongest rival that Microsoft has ever faced. In servers, researcher IDC predicts Linux' market share based on unit sales will rise from 24% today to 33% in 2007, compared with 59% for Windows -- essentially keeping Microsoft at its current market share for the next three years and squeezing its profit margins. That's because, for the first time, Linux is taking a bite out of Windows, not just the other alternatives, and is forcing Microsoft to offer discounts to avoid losing sales.
A fascinating read, and highly recommended.
[ Posted at 7:48 PM | Permalink ]

 

Lawyer fights back at Apple

InfoWorld:
The lawyer for the Harvard freshman being sued by Apple Computer for publishing trade secrets about the company's products, says Apple is stifling free speech.

Terry Gross, the lawyer working free of charge for Nicholas Ciarelli, said the Apple lawsuit ignores First Amendment protections of free speech and attempts to intimidate small publishers from printing unwanted information about companies such as Apple.

"My client is angry," said Gross said, a partner at the San Francisco-based law firm of Gross & Belsky LLP, "He's a fan of Apple and can't understand why Apple is suing him."

Gross said he is preparing a motion to be filed by Feb. 2 that says the lawsuit was filed to intimidate public speech and should be dismissed. "They would not do this against the New York Times," he said.
Damn right they wouldn't. This lawsuit will fail miserably, and it will prove to be a rare PR blunder for Apple, which is more beloved by its fans, practically, than any company on earth. Way to go, guys.
[ Posted at 9:27 AM | Permalink ]

 

Thursday, January 20, 2005

19 million Firefox downloads

Spread Firefox:
What an amazing accomplishment you all have made. In just a little over 10 weeks, you've helped to spread the word to over 19 million people. 19,000,000! When numbers get this big, I personally have a difficult time wrapping my brain around them so I turn to some volumes I can actually imagine. Nineteen million people would fill the NFL's largest football stadium -- 200 times over. Think of that, the largest professional sports venue in the US, stacked on top of itself 200 times! It's about the total population of Australia or New York! Not that it actually helps me visualize anything but my estimate is that these downloads add up to about 90 terabytes.
[ Posted at 5:40 PM | Permalink ]

 

Browser Showdown: Firefox vs. Internet Explorer

BBspot:
Other tech sites will bore you with in-depth "technical details" and performance specs in their product analysis. At BBspot we pull back from the boring benchmarks to compare the superficialities, and we do it all on a single page. Now that Firefox is gaining ground on Internet Explorer it is time to compare the two face to face.

Microsoft leaves no doubt what their products are. If they made toilet paper it would be called Butt Wiper. Internet Explorer isn't a bad name, but it's not spectacular.

On the other end of the spectrum, the name Firefox gives no clue to what it is. Could be a car? 80s video game? Lame comic book superhero? Flaming dish at a wild game restaurant? A browser would probably be your last guess. No matter, it is a much cooler name than the utilitarian Internet Explorer.

Advantage - Firefox
LOL. Good stuff.

Related: Microsoft's AntiSpyware Tool Removes Internet Explorer
[ Posted at 5:39 PM | Permalink ]

 

FAQ: CableCard? What's that?

CNET:
f you're shopping for a new TV or personal video recorder (PVR) this year, you should know something about CableCard. At this month's Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas, TiVo, Hewlett-Packard and others unveiled new products incorporating the technology. Most new digital television models including HDTVs now include CableCard hook-ups.

CableCard is an interface for digital TV that lets you plug your cable line directly into your TV set without the need for a set-top box. It's about the size of a thick credit card, and fits into a special slot built into digital TVs and a growing number of peripheral devices, such as a newly announced version of TiVo and HP's media "hub."

CableCard's first function--and arguably its most important--is to prevent people from stealing cable TV. Like a set-top box, it stores subscriber information and codes for unlocking and viewing scrambled digital-cable signals.

CableCard is meant to replace set-top boxes. But it does not yet replicate all set-top box functions. Notably, you can't yet use CableCard for services that require two-way interactivity, such as accessing your cable company's interactive programming guide or purchasing pay-per-view programs. Also, equipment that was made before the CableCard specification was created won't work with CableCard. That includes all current TiVo models.
[ Posted at 3:18 PM | Permalink ]

 

Xbox Live Sets New Online Gaming Benchmark

Microsoft PR:
Coming off one of the hottest holiday seasons for video game software sales in history, Microsoft Corp. today announced that its Xbox Live online gaming service has set a new standard with more than 1.4 million members, exceeding expectations and cementing its leadership position in the digital entertainment landscape. This additional news comes on the heels of 14 consecutive months of increased market share for Xbox, the only console to see an increase of market share in 2004.

Monthly share for Xbox has grown year-to-year every month for 14 consecutive months, climbing 11 share points to 37 percent in December. Xbox was the only platform to see year-to-year growth during the fourth quarter of 2004 and the full calendar year 2004, while Xbox competitors and the overall market declined year over year for both time periods. Xbox annual 2004 console unit market share increased an impressive 12 points compared with 2003 and ended the year with a 37 percent share. Xbox had three titles in the top 10 in December: No. 4, "Halo 2" from Microsoft Games Studios (including sales of the Limited Edition); No. 6, "Need for Speed: Underground 2" from Electronic Arts Inc.; and No. 10, "Star Wars: Knights of the Old Republic 2" from LucasArts. Xbox software sales led the way in 2004 as unit sales increased 46 percent year-over-year, and increased 55 percent (annual 2004 vs. annual 2003).

There are now more than 200 Xbox Live-enabled titles, making it the richest library of online console games available today. "Halo 2," which has sold more than 6.4 million copies worldwide since November, helped propel the service to new heights. The overall "Halo" franchise, which includes predecessor "Halo: Combat Evolved" for the PC and Xbox, has sold a collective 12.8 million copies in just three years.
[ Posted at 2:59 PM | Permalink ]

 

Top Nine Reasons the Apple Dock Still Sucks

Ask Tog:
The [Mac OS X] Dock ... makes a great demo. But ... the Dock is akin to a brightly-colored set of children's blocks, ideal for your first words—dog, cat, run, Spot, run—but not too effective for displaying the contents of War and Peace.

A certain class of Apple users—those who check their email once or twice a week and sometimes need to print an attached photo—may need nothing more than the Dock.

The rest of us need more powerful tools, so,
Apple, leave the Dock as the smashing demo it is, but also supply some serious, information-dense tools. You have the talent and wherewithal to make such tools as attractive as the Dock if only you will cease seeing this one single object as a complete solution.

Apple has made a few improvements to the Dock in the last three years. Items no longer jump around seemingly at random, although the size of the Dock continues to "wheeze" in and out without user control.. Items also act like buttons, so clicking anywhere within their confines will open them. Apple also quickly gave us the ability to turn off magnification, a major improvement in day-to-day usability.

Meanwhile, here are eight continuing problems with the Dock, plus a new one, a decided lack of color. Most of these are inherent, and the solution is more and varied tools. A few can be directly addressed by design tweaks.
You gotta love Tog.

Related: Panther: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly
[ Posted at 8:40 AM | Permalink ]

 

Flaws found in underlying system of Mac's OS X

Tech World:
Security firm Immunity has reported several vulnerabilities in Darwin, the Unix implementation which Apple calls the "rock-solid foundation" of Mac OS X. The vulnerabilities affect all recent versions of OS X, Immunity said in an advisory published on Wednesday.

While they won't be serious for most users, the bugs are the latest blow to OS X's reputation as being free from the security problems that plague Windows. Some security researchers have argued that reputation is unwarranted, saying Windows bugs simply get more publicity and cause more mayhem because the operating system is so widespread.
Some? Some say that? You'd have to be crazy to say otherwise. We might equally call AmigaDOS 2.x the most secure OS out there, because it will never be hacked.
Immunity founder and chief executive Dave Aitel said the problems wouldn't be very serious for most users, because OS X isn't widely used as a server operating system. He said security experts have never considered the operating system particularly invulnerable. "Apple's never been that secure from a local perspective," he told Techworld.

In an analysis last year, security firm Secunia found that OS X doesn't stand out as particularly more secure than the competition. The operating system had a similar proportion of critical bugs to competitors such as Windows XP Professional, Red Hat Advanced Server and Suse Linux Enterprise Server, Secunia said.
Finally, a bit of sanity about Mac OS X security. When gadget guys who know nothing about security, like David Pogue, say that Mac OS X is more secure, it means nothing. But when companies like Secunia and Immunity show up, it's time to pay attention.
[ Posted at 8:35 AM | Permalink ]

 

Wednesday, January 19, 2005

Mac mini, meet the competition

Ever since Apple's controversial Mac mini was released last week, there's been a lot of discussion online about whether the "BYODKM" (Bring Your Own Display, Keyboard, and Mouse) machine offers viable competition to the Wintel options. Invariably, these discussions have been split down partisan lines. Mac fanatics, largely, argue that the Mac mini does, indeed, offer a price-conscious alternative to PCs, and they struggle to justify that claim with machine-to-machine comparisons that do little more than prove that the mini compete well with just one of the many PC makes out there. Mac detractors, meanwhile, say that the Mac mini is just more of the same, and that it doesn't offer enough expandability or a low-enough cost to justify the purchase. Wintel-based machines, they say, are just cheaper.

Well, enough talk. Let's compare the Mac mini to actually-shipping PC configurations that are available this very week. To perform this comparison, I'm using last Sunday's Best Buy circular, and not just a single PC make from a single PC vendor. All of the systems I'm going to compare are $500 or less, the same price as a bare-bones, low-end Mac mini. And once the comparison is done, I'd like to discuss the ramifications of the competition and clarify where I stand on the Mac mini debate.

First, let's clarify what a Mac mini is. The Mac mini is an incredibly small Macintosh computer that costs $500. Essentially an iBook G4 notebook computer sans screen, keyboard, and mouse, it comes with a 1.25 GHz PowerPC G4 processor, 256 MB of RAM, an ATI Radeon 9200 graphics chip with 32 MB of RAM, a 40 GB notebook-style hard drive, and a slot-loading, notebook-style combo drive. There is no internal expansion per se: You can upgrade to a more acceptable 512 MB of RAM for $75 (recommended, if not required) and to a DVD burner for $100 (also recommended), but you must do this when you purchase the machine, or bring it to an Apple Store later; you can't really do it yourself. Also, an 80 GB hard drive upgrade is $50 (again, recommended). For $600, you can get a 1.42 GHz version that already includes the 80 GB hard drive upgrade, so the processor upgrade is essentially $50. For this reason, many have decried the real price of the Mac mini to be $775, unless you need wireless capabilities, which can make the price closer to $850. Suddenly, we're not in bargain basement territory any more.


No matter. Let's assume a base Mac mini with the necessary 512 MB of RAM upgrade is the least anyone would really want. Such a machine costs $575. This machine features laptop-type components, and not the more powerful desktop-type components that PCs use. It has no display, keyboard, or mouse. It is only minimally expandable. So. What does the PC world look like?

Exhibit number one: Compaq $509
For $509, or almost the exact cost of a bare bones Mac mini, Best Buy will sell you an easily expandable Compaq tower PC with a 2.1 GHz AMD Sempron processor, 512 MB of RAM, an 80 GB hard drive, a multi-format DVD writer, an integrated 9-in-1 media reader, a 17-inch CRT monitor, and a printer. It's a complete computing solution. For $100 more, or the price of a SuperDrive upgrade on your Mac mini, you get a faster processor, a 200 GB hard drive, and a double-layer multi-format DVD writer (!) ... astonishing. For $50 more, you can get an HP PSC1350 printer/scanner/copier. Unbelievable. Here it is:


Now, it should be noted that the $509 price tag is after $300 in mail-in-rebates, so the out-of-pocket price is $809 at the time of purchase. However, the actual price of the system--and it's a full system, not just a box--is, at $509, simply amazing.

Exhibit number two: eMachines $329
If that Compaq is too expensive, consider the $329 eMachines bundle that Best Buy is also selling. This little wonder features a decent-size tower case, a 2.66 GHz Intel Celeron processor, 256 MB of RAM, a 60 GB hard drive, a CD-RW drive, a 17-inch CRT display, and a printer. Yikes. For $130, you can upgrade to a 15-inch LCD display. For $140 (a total cost of $460), you can upgrade to a 2.93 GHz Celeron processor, 512 MB of RAM, an 80 hard drive, a double layer multi-format DVD writer (!), and an 8-in-1 media reader, an incredible bargain. For $50, you can upgrade the printer to a Lexmark X5270 printer/scanner/copier. Sweet. Here it is:


Like the Compaq, the eMachines bundle requires mail-in-rebates, this time to the tune of $330. But like the Compaq, the eMachines is also a complete system, with PC, display, keyboard, mouse, speakers, and printer. It's components are easily upgraded. It comes in an expandable tower case. And so on.

Conclusions
So, what do these deals show us? First, you can get a lot of PC--indeed, a whole PC system including a large CRT screen and a printer--for the same price, or less, than the Mac mini. Second, these PC systems are far more expandable than the Mac mini, thanks to their comparatively voluminous tower cases, with readily available RAM slots, room for more hard drives and optical drives, and various add-in cards: You can even get integrated 9-in-1 (or 8-in-1) media readers, which is a huge plus.

Third, and perhaps most important, none of this matters. Put simply, the people who buy $300 to $500 PC systems at Best Buy are never, ever going to be Apple customers. The people who will be attracted to the Mac mini are people who already have expensive PCs but are looking for a second machine. They are into digital media and are perhaps taken with the style of the iPod. They can afford a $500 second machine, just like they can afford an iPod. And they number in the millions. They will not be buying either of the PCs shown above, not ever.

When it comes to this kind of purchase, the $500 price tag of the Mac mini means just one thing. Like the iPod, the Mac mini is an affordable luxury and it will, in my opinion, open up Mac OS X to a much wider audience. The Mac mini, however, does not compete feature-for-feature or price-for-price with the PC. And you know what? Neither does the iPod, when compared to its competition. Just look what happened there. People aren't buying these things based on features. There's something intangible happening here.

My prediction is that the Mac mini will reverse Apple's market share slide. And one year from now, if not sooner, all of us--even the detractors, begrudgingly--will credit this product with turning around the Macs fortunes. Comparing apples to oranges, or in this case, Apples to eMachines, just doesn't make sense.
[ Posted at 1:47 PM | Permalink ]

 

Mac market share stalled at 1.9 percent in 2004

According to market researchers at IDC, PC vendors shipped 177.5 million units during 2004, up 14.7 percent from the 154.7 million units shipped in 2003. Apple, meanwhile, shipped 3.504 million units, up 13 percent from the 3.098 million units the company shipped in 2003.

Using these numbers, Apple's market share for 2004 was almost exactly 2 percent. That's .1 percent higher than Apple's 2003 market share of 1.9 percent. Sounds good.

However, another big name market researcher, Gartner, puts PC sales in 2004 at 189 million units. Since we'll never be able to figure out which one of these yearly numbers is accurate, let's split the difference at 183.25 million units. So Apple's share of the overall PC market is 1.9 percent, exactly the same as its market share in 2003.

Will the Mac mini change the equation? I think so, making this year quite interesting.
[ Posted at 9:09 AM | Permalink ]

 

Apple: Four-week wait for iPod Shuffle

Reuters:
It could be deja vu all over again for Apple Computer Inc..

Just one week after launching the tiny iPod Shuffle, a lightweight and much cheaper model of its market-leading digital music player, customers face a wait of two to four weeks before their order is shipped, according to the company's Web site Tuesday.

There is a two- to three-week wait for the $99 iPod Shuffle, which holds about 120 songs, while customers face a wait of three to four weeks for the $149 model, which has double the capacity, according to the Apple Web site.

Apple's co-founder and chief executive, Steve Jobs, said last week at the company's annual trade show that the new music players were on their way from factories to Apple's online store, its retail stores and third-party retailers and distributors.
Sigh.

Here we go again. You know, like many people who are into technology, I get excited about products like the iPod shuffle and the Mac mini. But some of my most critical opinions about Apple are the direct result of this kind of behavior. Is anyone honestly going to tell me that Steve Jobs didn't know about this when he appeared at MacWorld last week? It's aggravating.
[ Posted at 8:44 AM | Permalink ]

 

Monday, January 17, 2005

Could EA Be the Next Disney?

Business 2.0:
Electronic Arts makes one of every four videogames sold in the world (and that's before it took The Sims online). CEO Larry Probst says he's just getting started building "the greatest entertainment company ever."
OK, so this story is over 2 years old, but talk about prescient. Today, EA is stronger than ever, thanks to its partnerships with Microsoft, the NFL, and various other companies. Unbelievable.
[ Posted at 8:31 PM | Permalink ]

 

Transmeta -- how a great idea, brilliant minds and big investors equaled a big flop

Mercury News:
Great ideas don't always make for great businesses. Just look at Transmeta.

In early 2000, the Santa Clara start-up unveiled its plans for a power-saving computer chip amid a blizzard of hype. "If it's mobile and it has a browser, it will use a Transmeta chip," boasted company founder David Ditzel on the day of the launch.

Although the market that Transmeta helped create flourished, the company did not. This month, it all but said it was turning out the lights.

What happened?
I'll tell you what happened. The Pentium-M happened. Transmeta's flaw was that it was emulating x86 hardware, slowly. The company's only true success was getting Intel off its ass and away from the Pentium 4/4M series and into a new, truly mobile chipset, the Centrino, which included the Pentium-M processor. We can all thank Transmeta for that. But unlike the Transmeta Crusoe, Intel's solution performed amazingly well right out of the gate. Game over.
[ Posted at 8:11 PM | Permalink ]

 

Mac Mini may chip away at Windows

Seattle Post-Intelligencer:
Analysts who track Microsoft Corp. and the computer market say the Mac Mini could begin to change the competitive landscape. The computer will start at $499. It will be sold without keyboard, display or mouse, but with input ports that Apple says are designed to let most PC users continue using the keyboards, displays and mice they already own.

Even before the release of the Mac Mini, slated for later this month, Apple reported new momentum. The company said last week that it shipped more than 1 million Macs in its quarter ended Christmas Day, a 26 percent increase over the same period the previous year.

Analysts attribute that in part to an apparent "halo effect" from the soaring popularity of Apple's iPod. The dominant portable music player, which works in conjunction with both Macs and Windows PCs, has introduced many people to Apple products for the first time.

But even if Apple sells one Mac for every iPod it sells, the result would still be a drop in the bucket compared with the more than 170 million personal computers sold worldwide annually. The vast majority are Windows PCs.
That's actually a very interesting point, one that again puts the success of the iPod in perspective.

[ Posted at 4:02 PM | Permalink ]

 

Patriots Nation Recap

Perfect time for Patriots:
Don't be surprised if the Patriots are reigning Super Bowl champs next time local fans trek to the Razor. In a near-perfect game yesterday, the devoted sons of Bill Belichick grounded the heretofore high-flying Indianapolis Colts, 20-3, advancing to the AFC Championship game in Pittsburgh next Sunday night. A win against the Steelers at Heinz Field would put the Patriots in Super Bowl XXXIX Feb. 6 in Jacksonville, Fla., with a chance to earn dynasty status by winning a third championship in four seasons.

"It was an awesome performance," said Belichick, a man incapable of hyperbole (think Mike Dukakis with a whistle around his neck). "The second half was certainly our best 30 minutes of football this season. To hold a team like that to 3 points, that's a good defensive effort."

Cold-clocked:
Maybe the signs and the chants were a little harsh during New England's 20-3 pounding of the Colts and Manning yesterday, which punched New England's ticket to the AFC Championship game Sunday at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh.

"After the game you will get your ring -- suffer-ring," read one. The crowd was yelling "Cut that meat! Cut that meat!" in reference to Manning's ad campaign in which he cheers for the common folk while they're performing their jobs.

The NFL MVP was just that yesterday -- common. Manning, (27 of 42, 238 yards, 1 interception) was unable to lead his vaunted offense to the end zone, and his longest completion was 18 yards.

Manning: Beating a dead horse:
For the second season in a row, Manning and his teammates were eliminated from the postseason by a better-prepared and more physical team.

What transpired here yesterday was truly stunning. New England lined up against the top quarterback in the league without two of its best players in the secondary (Ty Law and Tyrone Poole) and star defensive end Richard Seymour in street clothes. The Colts lined up with a fleet of receivers (Marvin Harrison, Reggie Wayne, and Brandon Stokley) that are known for their speed, their cunning, and their experience. And yet, the longest completion Manning threw all day was 18 yards.
[ Posted at 3:31 PM | Permalink ]

 

Snow Bowl II: Pats pummel Colts in the Foxboro snow

Ah yes. Let's turn to the Indianapolis Star for a wonderful recap of last night's Patriots 20 - 3 dismantling of the supposedly unstoppable Indianapolis Colts. (I was at the game, as you might expect, as I attend most home games):
The snow began about an hour before kickoff. It came in swirling sheets like white mist, and most of the sellout crowd of 68,756 stood throughout the night, huddled against the damp chill. The temperature was 25 degrees at halftime, and falling. Steam rose over both teams' huddles.

It was a frosty night in Foxboro, a night for tough-guy football, and no one plays it better than the world champion New England Patriots. They outplayed, outhit and outscored the Indianapolis Colts 20-3 on Sunday in an AFC divisional playoff game.

The Patriots extended their domination of the Colts (13-5) to six games. They have won 14 of the team's past 16 meetings, including all nine in Foxboro since 1995.

The Colts couldn't make plays, couldn't sustain drives. After scoring 49 points in a wild-card playoff victory over Denver last week, they failed to score a touchdown for the first time since a 9-6 victory at Cleveland in their 2003 season opener.

Manning was 27-for-42 for 238 yards with one interception. He is 0-7 in Foxboro.





And in equally good news, the inept New York Jets blew yet another chance to get past the divisional round despite a hapless Pittsburgh team handing them their worst game of the season. How did the Jets respond to this gift? It's over-rated offense didn't score a single touchdown. So much for that "rivalry." Now it's on to Pittsburgh and then the Super Bowl. New England has proven itself to be the best team in the league: No matter what happens next week, 2004-5 was a banner season, no doubt about it.
[ Posted at 3:19 PM | Permalink ]

 



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